Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 30

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Nizovtsev I. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Veles Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.53	3.88
	1.93	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	3.69 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
47.7%

Draw
27.2%

Veles Moscow
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Arsenal Tula - Veles Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Arsenal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Veles is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arsenal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
01.05.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
21.04.23	Arsenal Tula - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Arsenal Tula - Kuban Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL
29.04.23	Veles Moscow - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Veles Moscow	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	KAMAZ - Veles Moscow	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Veles Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Rubin Kazan - Veles Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.10.22	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:2 penalties

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