Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Kukuyan P. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.15	2.83
	2.35	3.38	3.04
	2.44	3.51	3.12
	2.24	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.47)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
40.5%

Draw
28.6%

Nizhny Novgorod
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Arsenal Tula - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Kokarev N. (G) 13. Kaynov M. 70. Geloyan I. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 31. Bolshakov K. 21. Shevchenko E. 8. Popov A. (C) 24. Korotkov A. 20. Okoronquo J. 88. Makarov A. 76. Sukhanov A.	25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 19. Ermakov N. 87. Bozhenov K. 2. Aleksandrov V. 10. Troshechkin A. 26. Tikhiy D. 11. Stamatov M. 78. Kalinski N. (C) 22. Kakkoev N. 9. Ze Turbo 80. Tsarukyan V.
Substitutes
92. Barkov D. 1. Cherchesov S. (G) 71. Denisov A. 73. Khabibov A. 9. Laykin M. 36. Levashov M. (G) 6. Levin V. 10. Matsukatov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 34. Vakulich A.	88. Glushchenkov K. 24. Gotsuk K. 21. Kalaida D. 77. Karapuzov V. 18. Kuchaev K. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 23. Kutateladze N. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 70. Shnaptsev M. 17. Tikhonov M. 6. Vedernikov D.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Ilic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bozhenov K. ⚽,
25', Geloyan I. ↓, Khabibov A. ↑,
25', Troshechkin A. ↓, Kuchaev K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Makarov A. ↓, Levin V. ↑,
46', Shevchenko E. ↓, Nduka I. D. ↑,
48', Popov A. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Botaka-Yoboma E. (Own goal),
69', Kakkoev N. ↓, Gotsuk K. ↑,
69', Ermakov N. ↓, Shnaptsev M. ↑,
75', Tsarukyan V. ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
78', Popov A. ↓, Barkov D. ↑,
85', Shnaptsev M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Arsenal is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nizhny Novgorod is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arsenal will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Nizhny Novgorod: Maiga M. (Injury) Maradishvili K. (Injury) Zhigulev I. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
29.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
25.05.24	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
16.05.24	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWTW
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
29.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Krylya Sovetov - Nizhny Novgorod	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	2:6 ✺
12.05.24	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	6:1 ✺
05.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
29.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	1:2
02.05.22	Arsenal Tula - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2
19.09.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Arsenal Tula	2:3

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