Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sovcombank Arena (Nizhny Novgorod) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Football Asia
Croatia	14:15	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Nizhny Novgorod		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.44	3.37	2.33
	3.58	3.47	2.16	Watch
	3.7	3.68	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)	3.51 ↓ (3.68)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nizhny Novgorod
26.9%

Draw
27.4%

CSKA Moscow
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

24.9%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). CSKA will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Medvedev N. (C) 3. Koledin Y. 22. Kakkoev N. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Karic S. 29. Ticic L. 6. Sarfo A. 78. Kalinski N. 40. Olusegun O. 88. Lesovoy D. 21. Cephas R.	49. Torop V. (G) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 79. Danilov K. 2. Matheus Reis 10. Oblyakov I. (C) 31. Kislyak M. 6. Barinov D. 3. Krugovoy D. 11. Musaev T. 52. Bandikyan A.
Substitutes
2. Aleksandrov V. 10. Balboa A. 27. Grulev V. 77. Ivlev A. 51. Koshkin E. (G) 16. Krashevskiy Y. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 8. Maiga M. 69. Sidorenko A. 17. Smelov E. 14. Urvantsev M.	67. Badmaev M. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 85. Besaev E. (G) 82. Bondarenko A. 62. Firov I. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 90. Lukin M. 87. Ponomarchuk A. 20. Popovic M. 97. Voronov M.
Coaches
Garanin V.	Igdisamov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Lesovoy D. 🟨,
40', Kalinski N. 🟨,
42', Cephas R. ↓, Grulev V. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Lesovoy D. ⚽, Olusegun O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lesovoy D. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
46', Kirsch I. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
57', Barinov D. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
58', Musaev T. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
58', Bandikyan A. ↓, Firov I. ↑,
67', Matheus Reis ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
69', Lukyanov V. 🟨,
72', Olusegun O. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
73', Joao Victor ↓, Lukin M. ↑,
84', Ticic L. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
88', Aleksandrov V. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Kozlov D. ⚽, Firov I. (A),
90', 1 - 2, Firov I. ⚽, Popovic M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

CSKA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.8:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CSKA Moscow	12	7	4	1	21:12	9	25

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 5.9%

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Moscow - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.34%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
03.05.26	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLTT
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Cup
06.05.26	Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.05.26	CSKA Moscow - Zenit	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	0:0 ✺
21.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
31.10.25	CSKA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0
24.05.25	CSKA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0
Club Friendly
13.10.24	CSKA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2
Russian Cup
01.10.24	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	0:2
14.08.24	CSKA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 penalties
Russian Premier League
27.07.24	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	0:3
20.05.24	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	2:6

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