Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 23

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)


	Deportivo Maldonado		Artigas

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.88	3.4
	2.15	3	3.5
	4.80	3.51	1.72	Watch
	2.14	2.94	3.43
	2.1	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.19)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
36.7%

Draw
31.8%

Artigas
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Artigas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artigas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Maldonado - Artigas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Maldonado (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Maldonado (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, ⚽,
69', 🟥,
72', 5 - 1, ⚽,
89', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 13).

Maldonado has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Artigas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Artigas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maldonado is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maldonado won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Uruguay Montevideo	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL
- CA Artigas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Artigas - Central Español	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Artigas	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Artigas - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Artigas - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.25	Artigas - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1

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