Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Arturo Fernández Vial		Real San Joaquín

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.54	3.3	2.44
	2.29	3.3	2.33
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.54	3.17	2.69
	2.55	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	2.51 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arturo Fernández Vial
36.1%

Draw
28.1%

Real San Joaquín
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.2%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arturo Fernández Vial that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real San Joaquín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Toro H. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Arturo Fernández Vial is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real San Joaquín is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Segunda Division
14.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	3:2 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Trasandino de Los Andes	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Provincial Osorno - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Provincial Ovalle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT
- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
13.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Real San Joaquín - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Real San Joaquín	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
05.08.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Real San Joaquín	0:0
25.03.23	Real San Joaquín - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0

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