Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Ascoli		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3	2.65
	2.75	3	2.7	Watch
	2.88	3.06	2.82
	2.89	3.06	2.82
	2.88	3.1	2.38
	2.79	3.08	2.64	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.81)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.67 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
33.6%

Draw
31%

Spezia
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	87.5%	0%

Ascoli - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 17. Adjapong C. 55. Bellusci G. 14. Quaranta D. 54. Falasco N. 18. Di Tacchio F. 20. Milanese T. 33. Botteghin E. (C) 90. Mendes P. 73. Masini P. 99. Rodriguez P.	1. Zoet J. (G) 27. Amian K. 23. Muhl L. 43. Nikolaou D. (C) 7. Elia S. 29. Cassata F. 25. Bandinelli F. 10. Esposito Sa. 99. Verde D. 9. Esposito F. 80. Kouda R.
Substitutes
1. Barosi D. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 7. Millico V. 96. Rossi E.	48. Antonucci M. 77. Bertola N. 36. Candelari P. 11. Cipot T. 8. Ekdal A. 33. Gelashvili I. 55. Hristov P. 19. Krollis R. 24. Moro L. 15. Pietra N. 40. Zovko P. (G) 17. Zurkowski S.
Coaches
Castori F.	D'Angelo L.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3.

Ascoli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Bari - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.12.23	Spezia - Parma	0:1 ✺
24.11.23	Sampdoria - Spezia	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Spezia - Ternana	2:2 ✺
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Spezia - Ascoli	3:1
24.09.19	Ascoli - Spezia	3:0
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Ascoli - Spezia	2:1
Italian Serie B
14.04.19	Spezia - Ascoli	3:2
01.12.18	Ascoli - Spezia	3:1
24.03.18	Spezia - Ascoli	1:1
24.10.17	Ascoli - Spezia	3:1

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