Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ascoli		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.5	3	2.87
	2.5	3	2.95	Watch
	2.67	3.05	3.02
	2.69	2.9	3.01
	2.62	3.1	2.6
	2.54	3.16	2.84	Watch
	2.5	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.69)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
36.6%

Draw
31.1%

Catanzaro
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	35.7%	50%

Ascoli - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 55. Bellusci G. 33. Botteghin E. 14. Quaranta D. 40. Bayeye B. J. 8. Giovane S. 18. Di Tacchio F. 54. Falasco N. 73. Masini P. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 77. Katseris P. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Brighenti N. (C) 32. Krajnc L. 24. Sounas D. 21. Pompetti M. 18. Ghion A. 27. Vandeputte J. 70. Ambrosino G. 28. Biasci T.
Substitutes
17. Adjapong C. 1. Barosi D. (G) 12. Bolletta L. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 30. Nestorovski I. 96. Rossi E.	22. Borrelli E. (G) 17. Brignola E. 7. D'Andrea L. 5. Krastev D. 44. Miranda K. 33. Oliveri A. 20. Pontisso S. 16. Sala A. (G) 92. Situm M. 19. Stoppa M. 8. Verna L.
Coaches
Castori F.	Vivarini V.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Ascoli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Catanzaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catanzaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
09.12.23	Ascoli - Spezia	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Bari - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
09.12.23	Catanzaro - Pisa	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Palermo - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Venezia - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Catanzaro - Modena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega Pro C1/B
23.02.14	Ascoli - Catanzaro	0:1
18.10.13	Catanzaro - Ascoli	1:1

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