Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258


	Ascoli		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.96	3.55	3.45
	1.91	3.73	3.58
	1.87	3.78	3.75	Watch
	1.89	3.36	3.67	Watch
	1.96	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)	3.56 ↑ (3.47)	3.57 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
48.3%

Draw
25.9%

Legnago Salus
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legnago Salus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ascoli - Legnago Salus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Legnago Salus will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ascoli (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Raffaelli M. (G) 6. Adjapong C. 19. Menna D. 13. Piermarini M. 26. D'Amore F. 8. Varone I. 24. Bando A. 4. Carpani G. 7. Silipo A. 10. Marsura D. 45. Ciabuschi J.	91. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Tanco G. J. 27. Ampollini F. 26. Noce M. 23. Muteba V. 70. Leoncini M. 8. Casarotti E. 11. Zanetti L. 93. Franzolini A. 25. Bombagi F. (C) 17. Spalluto S.
Substitutes
14. Baldassin L. 18. Corazza S. 9. Forte F. 67. Gagliardi M. 1. Livieri A. (G) 25. Maiga Silvestri Y. 3. Maurizii E. 32. Tremolada L.	12. Bajari L. (G) 20. Banse O. 99. Basso Ricci A. 6. Dore S. 29. Gazzola M. 5. Koblar L. 7. Morello M. 18. Peschetola L. 1. Rigon A. (G) 21. Ruggeri G. 9. Svidercoschi S. 31. Tonica D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Spalluto S. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Ciabuschi J. ⚽,
44', Silipo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Leoncini M. ↓, Basso Ricci A. ↑,
55', Zanetti L. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
60', Bando A. ↓, Bertini M. ↑,
60', Silipo A. ↓, Gagliardi M. ↑,
60', Adjapong C. ↓, Alagna M. ↑,
60', Ciabuschi J. ↓, Forte F. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Dore S. ⚽,
62', Basso Ricci A. 🟨,
72', Spalluto S. ↓, Banse O. ↑,
72', Casarotti E. ↓, Gazzola M. ↑,
75', Gagliardi M. 🟨,
76', Marsura D. 🟨,
79', Marsura D. ↓, Maiga Silvestri Y. ↑,
79', Maiga Silvestri Y. 🟨,
80', Ampollini F. 🟨,
84', Muteba V. ↓, Tonica D. ↑,
85', Tanco G. J. 🟥,
90+2', Banse O. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ascoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Legnago Salus is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ascoli will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Ascoli: Cosimi L. (Inactive) Cozzoli F. (Inactive) Maiga Silvestri Y. (Inactive) Re A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Legnago Salus: Ballan L. (Inactive) Diaby A. (Inactive) Vitale V. (Inactive) Zanandrea G. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.25	Sestri Levante - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Gubbio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTT
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.25	Legnago Salus - Pescara	1:3 ✺
14.04.25	Carpi - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Legnago Salus - Pianese	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	SPAL - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Legnago Salus - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.12.24	Legnago Salus - Ascoli	0:1

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