Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 37

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Sestri Levante		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.55	3.25	2.04
	3.25	3.15	2.02
	3.7	3.21	2.07	Watch
	3.6	3	2
	3.65	3.13	1.98	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.8)	3.16 ↑ (3)	2.02 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
26%

Draw
28.9%

Ascoli
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

30.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ascoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestri Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sestri Levante - Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fusco E. (G) 6. Brunet J. 10. Clemenza L. 43. Montebugnoli M. 25. Nunziatini F. 19. Pavanello A. 77. Piu A. 27. Podda L. 95. Primasso A. 18. Rosetti M. 5. Valentini N.	99. Raffaelli M. (G) 6. Adjapong C. 4. Carpani G. 2. Curado M. 26. D'Amore F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 9. Forte F. 10. Marsura D. 19. Menna D. 33. Odjer M. 8. Varone I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Brunet J. 🟨,
33', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Tremolada L. ↑,
36', Curado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Rosetti M. 🟨,
55', D'Amore F. 🟨,
72', Carpani G. ↓, Alagna M. ↑,
73', Pavanello A. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
85', Adjapong C. ↓, Baldassin L. ↑,
85', Menna D. ↓, Gagliolo R. ↑,
86', Forte F. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
90', Tremolada L. 🟨,
90+1', Clemenza L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Sestri Levante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ascoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ascoli is a favorite.

There will not play in Ascoli: Bando A. (Yellow Cards) Cosimi L. (Inactive) D'Uffizi S. (Injury) Re A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
12.04.25	Perugia - Sestri Levante	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sestri Levante - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Rimini - Sestri Levante	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sestri Levante - Pescara	3:1 ✺
17.03.25	Virtus Entella - Sestri Levante	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLLWL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.04.25	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Gubbio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.24	Ascoli - Sestri Levante	4:1

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