Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 35

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Ascoli		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.45	6.7	Watch
	1.4	4.15	9.69
	1.36	4.58	7.57	Watch
	1.36	3.8	7.5
	1.44	4.46	6.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.29 ↑ (4.21)	7.62 ↑ (7.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
66.4%

Draw
21.5%

Vis Pesaro
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.8%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Ascoli - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 80. Corradini G. 7. Silipo A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 35. Gori G.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 6. Di Renzo G. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Zoia R. 17. Paganini L. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 7. Pucciarelli M. 20. Giovannini R. 28. Machin J. 9. Nicastro F. 97. Lari N.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 10. Del Sole F. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 28. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N.	63. Barranco G. 27. Bastianelli R. 77. Durmush M. 19. Ferrari T. 25. Fraternale A. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 14. Jallow S. 55. Mariani E. 2. Piras M. 18. Pisano M. G. 66. Podrini F. 29. Salati 99. Ventre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lari N. ⚽,
19', Paganini L. 🟨,
22', Guiebre A. 🟨,
42', Pozzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', Lari N. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
68', Gori G. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
68', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
75', Nicastro F. ↓, Barranco G. ↑,
75', Di Paola M. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
81', Guiebre A. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
81', Corradini G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
90', Silipo A. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Milanese T. ⚽,
90+8', Milanese T. 🟨,
90+8', Machin J. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Ascoli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vis Pesaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ascoli is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.03.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Gubbio - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
09.03.26	Ascoli - Ravenna	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ascoli - Carpi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
29.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Bra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1
30.03.25	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	0:0
15.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1
Club Friendly
06.09.20	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1
08.09.18	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1

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