Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ascoli		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.6
	3	2.9	2.6
	2.95	2.8	2.65
	3.11	2.93	2.75
	3	2.8	2.62
	2.96	2.9	2.64	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.55)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
31.6%

Draw
32.7%

Reggina
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	27.8%	30.6%

Ascoli - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). Reggina will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 25.6% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ascoli has the most likely position - 8 (8.11%), has project points - 53, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 2 (15.86%), has project points - 61, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

This event has quality 35, importance 42, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Reggio Calabria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.12.22	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Ascoli - Genoa	0:0 ✺
08.12.22	Pisa - Ascoli	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Ascoli - Como	3:3 ✺
27.11.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTT
- AS Reggina 1914
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Reggina - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
17.12.22	Reggina - Bari	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Como - Reggina	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Reggina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
04.12.22	Brescia - Reggina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.04.22	Ascoli - Reggina	2:0
30.11.21	Reggina - Ascoli	1:2
04.05.21	Reggina - Ascoli	2:2
04.01.21	Ascoli - Reggina	2:1
19.03.13	Ascoli - Reggina	0:3
27.10.12	Reggina - Ascoli	2:0
03.03.12	Reggina - Ascoli	1:1

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