Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Brescia		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.8	2.9	2.7
	2.8	2.85	2.7
	2.79	3.06	2.92
	2.88	2.9	2.62
	2.76	2.96	2.77	Watch
	2.75	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.33)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.75 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
33.8%

Draw
32%

Reggina
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	73.6%	9.7%

Brescia - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 12 - 16.7%). Reggina will win (votes: 7 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 53 - 73.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 63.4% – 83.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Brescia has the most likely position - 3 (9.86%), has project points - 58, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 2 (11.95%), has project points - 60, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has quality 36, importance 52, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Brescia - SPAL	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Ternana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Genoa - Brescia	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Brescia - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTTT
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Reggina - Benevento	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Venezia - Reggina	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Reggina - Genoa	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Cagliari - Reggina	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Reggina - Perugia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.05.22	Brescia - Reggina	3:0
15.01.22	Reggina - Brescia	0:2
16.03.21	Brescia - Reggina	1:0
05.12.20	Reggina - Brescia	2:1
10.05.14	Reggina - Brescia	1:1
07.12.13	Brescia - Reggina	2:1
27.04.13	Reggina - Brescia	0:1

Brescia - Reggina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide