Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 18

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Romania	Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Reggina		Bari

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.05	3.15	3.75
	2.07	3.05	3.7
	2.1	3.24	4.12
	2.1	3.1	3.75
	2.01	3.3	3.84	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	3.82 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
45.6%

Draw
29.8%

Bari
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.5%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	45%	15%

Reggina - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 16 - 40%). Bari will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 60.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 2 (16.79%), has project points - 62, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Bari has the most likely position - 2 (14.03%), has project points - 60, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 37, importance 65, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Reggio Calabria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
11.12.22	Como - Reggina	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Reggina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
04.12.22	Brescia - Reggina	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Reggina - Benevento	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Venezia - Reggina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTW
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
11.12.22	Bari - Modena	4:1 ✺
08.12.22	Cittadella - Bari	0:3 ✺
04.12.22	Bari - Pisa	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Como - Bari	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.01.20	Reggina - Bari	1:1
16.09.19	Bari - Reggina	1:1
Italian Serie B
25.01.14	Bari - Reggina	0:1
23.08.13	Reggina - Bari	0:0
05.04.13	Reggina - Bari	1:0
12.11.12	Bari - Reggina	0:1
11.03.12	Bari - Reggina	2:1

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