Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport
Romania	Sport Extra


	Ascoli		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.45	Watch
	3	3	2.45
	3	3.1	2.45
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.36	2.93	2.57
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.06	3.1	2.43	Watch
	2.95	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.65)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ascoli
30.4%

Draw
31.2%

Frosinone
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	38.7%	35.5%

Ascoli - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Frosinone will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.6% – 55.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 5 (8.49%), has project points - 57, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (31.67%), has project points - 68, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (42%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a chance of win league (32%).

This event has quality 39, importance 58, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 0.

Ascoli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Frosinone is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Ascoli have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 7-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.11.22	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Venezia - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
24.10.22	Ascoli - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Sampdoria - Ascoli	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Bari - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWLW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.11.22	Frosinone - Perugia	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Frosinone - Bari	1:0 ✺
14.10.22	Venezia - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Frosinone - SPAL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.03.22	Ascoli - Frosinone	1:1
23.10.21	Frosinone - Ascoli	2:1
09.02.21	Ascoli - Frosinone	1:1
17.10.20	Frosinone - Ascoli	1:0
26.01.20	Ascoli - Frosinone	0:1
01.09.19	Frosinone - Ascoli	2:1
Club Friendly
05.08.19	Ascoli - Frosinone	0:1

Upcoming Matches