Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:00	SportyNet
Italy	20:00	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	22:00	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	20:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United Kingdom	19:00	DCTV
Usa	15:00	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus
International	19:00	OneFootball TV


	Ascoli		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.30	Watch
	2.15	3.30	3.30
	2.20	3.30	3.20	Watch
	2.19	3.26	3.75
	2.15	3.21	3.49	Watch
	2.15	3.20	3.70
	2.14	3.29	3.57	Watch
	2.12	3.20	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	3.45 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
43.7%

Draw
29%

Sampdoria
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	9.5%	0%

Ascoli - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (5.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Ascoli (7.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 5. Venuti L. 30. Curado M. (C) 3. Nicoletti M. 7. Silipo A. 8. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 13. Acampora G. 19. Guiebre A. 99. Brunori M. 15. D'Uffizi S.	12. Krastev A. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 25. Ferrari A. (C) 15. Delli Carri F. 7. Cicconi M. 45. Makoumbou A. 28. Abildgaard O. 6. Henderson L. 11. Begic T. 16. Verschaeren Y. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
77. Bolsius D. 9. Chakir M. A. 45. Crespi G. M. (G) 21. De Pieri G. 32. Gattoni F. 35. Gori G. 18. Lo Scalzo L. 62. Milanese T. 14. Oliveri A. 11. Perciun S. 27. Ricci M. 33. Rizzo N.	38. Diop K. 44. Donega G. 3. Gartenmann S. 14. Karamoh Y. 96. Massolo S. (G) 43. Mbabu K. 39. Mezzotero L. 40. Piermattei F. 99. Tutino G. 1. Vindahl P. (G)
Coaches
Tomei F.	Foti S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Silipo A. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
66', Makoumbou A. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
66', Ferrari A. ↓, Gartenmann S. ↑,
66', Brunori M. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
66', Venuti L. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
67', Acampora G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
72', Lauritsen T. ↓, Karamoh Y. ↑,
76', Nicoletti M. ↓, Rizzo N. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Abildgaard O. (Own goal),
85', Corradini G. ↓, Perciun S. ↑,
89', Begic T. 🟨,
89', Guiebre A. 🟨,
90+4', Di Pardo A. ↓, Diop K. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals and 19th in the Relegation).

Ascoli has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sampdoria is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ascoli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Ascoli: Alagna M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sampdoria: Conti F. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Insigne L. (Inactive) Meijer B. (Injury) Ravanelli L. (Inactive) Sekulov N. (Inactive) Sinani D. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ascoli has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ascoli against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ascoli	9	5	3	1	16:6	10	18
19	Sampdoria	9	1	2	6	8:18	-10	5

Last Results with these Odds

Ascoli - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sampdoria - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.96%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Catanzaro - Ascoli	1:6 ✺
17.10.26	Ascoli - Empoli	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ascoli - Avellino	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTWL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
24.10.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
18.10.26	Sampdoria - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.03.24	Sampdoria - Ascoli	2:1
07.10.23	Ascoli - Sampdoria	1:1
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Sampdoria - Ascoli	3:2 penalties
Italian Serie B
17.03.12	Sampdoria - Ascoli	0:0

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