Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 30

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.2
	1.95	3.3	4
	2.02	3.21	4.45
	2.03	3.21	4.45
	1.99	3.14	4.36	Watch
	1.96	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)	3.2 (3.2)	4.27 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
48.1%

Draw
29.7%

Lecco
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Ascoli - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Ascoli will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 16. Vaisanen S. 55. Bellusci G. (C) 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 18. Di Tacchio F. 7. Zedadka K. 10. Caligara F. 11. Streng J. 99. Rodriguez P.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 68. Ierardi M. 13. Capradossi E. 32. Lepore F. (C) 14. Parigini V. 96. Galli G. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 21. Crociata G. 90. Novakovich A. 45. Inglese R.
Substitutes
40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 29. Duris D. 8. Giovane S. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 20. Milanese T. 30. Nestorovski I. 44. Tavcar A. 41. Valzania L. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)	81. Beretta G. 6. Bianconi A. 99. Buso N. 17. Caporale A. 26. Frigerio M. R. 44. Guglielmotti D. 27. Ionita A. 29. Listkowski M. 7. Lunetta G. 10. Salcedo E. 22. Saracco U. (G) 8. Sersanti A.
Coaches
Carrera M.	Aglietti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Zedadka K. 🟨,
14', Lepore F. (Pen),
19', Caligara F. (Pen),
34', Lemmens M. 🟨,
42', Caligara F. (Pen),
45+2', Falzerano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lemmens M. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
46', Novakovich A. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
46', Guglielmotti D. 🟨,
69', Galli G. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
69', Ierardi M. ↓, Bianconi A. ↑,
71', Bellusci G. ⚽,
73', Streng J. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
73', Caligara F. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
76', Parigini V. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
84', Zedadka K. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑,
84', Rodriguez P. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
86', Duris D. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecco has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ascoli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
11.03.24	Sampdoria - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Ascoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Ascoli - Brescia	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
16.02.24	Ascoli - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTWT
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
10.03.24	Lecco - Palermo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Lecco - Como	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lecco - Nuova Cosenza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2

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