Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Ascoli		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.5
	2.12	3.1	3.45
	2.17	3.4	3.68
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.15	3.24	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.87)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	3.47 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
43.8%

Draw
29.1%

Vicenza Virtus
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

17.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vicenza Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ascoli - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 12 (8.47%), has project points - 49, has currently - 15, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Ascoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Pisa - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
28.10.21	Ascoli - SPAL	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Frosinone - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Ascoli - Lecce	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Crotone - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLTT
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Parma - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
27.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Monza	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	5:0 ✺
16.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Reggina	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Pordenone - Vicenza Virtus	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.04.21	Ascoli - Vicenza Virtus	2:1
19.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Ascoli	2:1

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