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Current Win Probability
Ascoli 26.2%
Draw 27.2%
Lecce 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
28%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
21%
57%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ascoli - Lecce Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent matches Ascoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lecce in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Lecce will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.
Watch
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