Match Info

Date: 1 November 2021, Monday


	Parma		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.75
	1.75	3.45	4.9
	1.69	3.55	4.8
	1.71	3.78	5.5
	1.65	3.7	5.25
	1.71	3.92	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)	3.69 ↓ (3.86)	5.18 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
56.2%

Draw
25.6%

Vicenza Virtus
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

15.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Vicenza Virtus have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Parma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vicenza Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Parma - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Vicenza will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Parma has the most likely position - 1 (16.13%), has project points - 64, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Recent matches Parma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vicenza Virtus is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
28.10.21	Cittadella - Parma	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	Reggina - Parma	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Parma - Monza	0:0 ✺
02.10.21	SPAL - Parma	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Parma - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTT
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
27.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Monza	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	5:0 ✺
16.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Reggina	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Pordenone - Vicenza Virtus	2:4 ✺
26.09.21	Vicenza Virtus - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWL

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