Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Nurmustafina E. (Kaz)


	Astana		Aksu

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	10
	1.2	5.9	9.52
	1.18	5.25	13
	1.2	6.25	12.5
	1.2	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.54)	5.88 ↑ (4.18)	11.2 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
76.3%

Draw
15.5%

Aksu
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.

Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aksu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aksu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Astana - Aksu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 45. Amanovic A. 21. Astanov E. 17. Aymbetov A. 7. Ebong M. 5. Gabyshev M. 3. Haroyan V. 8. Kuat I. 23. Ourega F. 33. Tomasevic Z. 10. Tomasov M. (C)	1. Trofimets I. (G) 15. Bryan 25. Esimov R. (C) 18. Eskic N. 5. Obilor F. 93. Osuchukwu C. 7. Silva T. 70. Suley A. 17. Turlybek M. 8. Zhaksybaev U. 40. Zhyrgalbek K.
Substitutes
72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 88. Darboe D. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 30. Ivanovic I. 29. Jovancic D. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 20. Prokopenko V. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.	30. Agimanov T. 97. Baizhanov T. 21. Golubnichi M. (G) 9. Guedes L. 10. Karaman D. 11. Marat D. 20. Zemko E.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Masudov V.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Astana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aksu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Astana is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Astana to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Astana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.23	Atyrau - Astana	0:0 ✺
24.05.23	Aksu - Astana	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
17.05.23	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
14.05.23	Okzhetpes - Astana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWT
- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
27.05.23	Aksu - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
24.05.23	Aksu - Astana	0:1 ✺
20.05.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Aksu	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Aksu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Aktobe - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
24.05.23	Aksu - Astana	0:1
19.06.22	Astana - Aksu	5:0
10.03.22	Aksu - Astana	1:0

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