Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 33

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Atalanta U23		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.08	3.25	3.25
	2.09	3.3	3.6
	2.04	3.32	3.38	Watch
	2	2.9	3.3
	2.02	3.16	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)	3.19 ↓ (3.43)	3.35 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
44.4%

Draw
28.5%

Casertana
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Atalanta U23 - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 2. Plaia M. 19. Obric R. 37. Navarro A. 24. Ghislandi D. 5. Panada S. (C) 47. Levak S. 25. Steffanoni F. 99. Vavassori D. 7. Manzoni A. 9. Misitano G.	1. De Lucia V. (G) 23. Martino P. 4. Kontek I. 6. Heinz J. 94. Liotti D. 21. Girelli S. 25. Toscano M. (C) 16. Pezzella S. 18. Oukhadda S. 90. Casarotto M. 7. Butic K.
Substitutes
4. Berto G. 58. Bonanomi A. 11. Cassa F. 14. Cisse M. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 80. Mencaraglia F. 1. Pardel P. (G) 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 3. Simonetto F. 12. Zanchi E. (G)	51. Arzillo V. 13. Bacchetti L. 20. Bentivegna A. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 10. Leone K. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 8. Proia F. 99. Saco C. 22. Vilardi A. (G) 17. Viscardi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Vismara P. ↓, Pardel P. ↑,
31', Toscano M. 🟨,
43', Plaia M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Navarro A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Liotti D. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
65', Casarotto M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
65', Pezzella S. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
67', Kallon Y. 🟨,
68', Vavassori D. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
68', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
68', Misitano G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
80', Manzoni A. ↓, Bonanomi A. ↑,
81', Kontek I. 🟥,
84', Butic K. ↓, Merolla E. ↑,
84', Martino P. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Kallon Y. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Atalanta U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Casertana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atalanta U23 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Casertana	11	4	5	2	16:14	2	17

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.26	Giugliano - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
09.03.26	Atalanta U23 - Audace Cerignola	3:2 ✺
05.03.26	Picerno - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Trapani - Atalanta U23	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta U23 - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWT
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Casertana - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Catania - Casertana	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Casertana - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Siracusa - Casertana	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Casertana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.12.25	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0

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