Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
International	Onefootball


	Casertana		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.82	3.14	2.47
	2.86	2.95	2.51	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.38
	2.84	3.15	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.15)	3.05 (3.05)	2.44 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casertana
32.4%

Draw
30.1%

Salernitana
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

29.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Casertana - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 23. Martino P. 18. Oukhadda S. 21. Girelli S. 25. Toscano M. 20. Bentivegna A. 94. Liotti D. 90. Casarotto M. 7. Butic K.	1. Donnarumma A. (G) 26. Matino E. 18. Golemic V. (C) 33. Anastasio A. 35. Cabianca E. 6. de Boer K. 29. Tascone M. 14. Villa L. 20. Ferraris A. 10. Ferrari F. 32. Lescano F.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 11. Galletta U. 6. Heinz J. 9. Kallon Y. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 16. Pezzella S. 8. Proia F. 99. Saco C. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G) 17. Viscardi A.	7. Achik I. 11. Antonucci M. 2. Berra F. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 5. Capomaggio G. 21. Carriero G. 45. Di Vico R. 4. Gyabuaa M. 16. Haxhiu F. 9. Inglese R. 28. Longobardi G. 25. Molina J. I. 24. Quirini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Girelli S. 🟨,
9', Matino E. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Lescano F. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Ferrari F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Casarotto M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
46', Matino E. ↓, Berra F. ↑,
46', Toscano M. ↓, Pezzella S. ↑,
46', Liotti D. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
49', Butic K. 🟨,
54', Tascone M. 🟨,
56', 0 - 3, Ferraris A. ⚽,
62', Martino P. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Proia F. ⚽,
73', Ferraris A. ↓, Carriero G. ↑,
73', Lescano F. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
81', Girelli S. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Butic K. ⚽,
87', Bentivegna A. 🟥,
90+6', Inglese R. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Casertana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Casertana has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Casertana - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Casertana - Crotone	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Casertana - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Latina - Casertana	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTLW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Foggia - Salernitana	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Salernitana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Trapani - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Salernitana - Benevento	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Potenza - Salernitana	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.26	Casertana - Salernitana	1:0
26.10.25	Salernitana - Casertana	2:1
09.05.15	Salernitana - Casertana	1:1
06.01.15	Casertana - Salernitana	1:0

Upcoming Matches