Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 29

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio


	Siracusa		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.46	3.1	3.03
	2.41	3.01	2.94	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.88
	2.4	2.91	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)	2.96 ↓ (3.24)	2.93 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
37.8%

Draw
31%

Casertana
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Siracusa - Casertana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Casertana (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Casertana (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 42. Iob S. 5. Pacciardi F. 26. Marafini A. 2. Puzone M. 24. Limonelli C. 28. Frisenna G. 20. Gudelevicius E. 11. Riccardi P. 9. Arditi G. 77. Di Paolo S.	1. De Lucia V. (G) 17. Viscardi A. 4. Kontek I. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 18. Oukhadda S. 99. Saco C. 16. Pezzella S. 21. Girelli S. 23. Martino P. 90. Casarotto M. 20. Bentivegna A.
Substitutes
25. Bonacchi C. 3. Cancellieri D. 17. Candiano M. 18. Capomaggio T. 21. Contaldo F. 14. Contini G. 72. Di Gesu E. 30. Morreale M. 7. Sbaffo A. 29. Simonetta J. 96. Sylla A. (G) 19. Valente N. 33. Zanini M.	51. Arzillo V. 13. Bacchetti L. 7. Butic K. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 10. Leone K. 12. Merolla E. (G) 8. Proia F. 25. Toscano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Limonelli C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Riccardi P. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
61', Girelli S. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Limonelli C. ⚽,
70', Puzone M. 🟨,
72', Arditi G. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
72', Limonelli C. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
73', Puzone M. ↓, Zanini M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Valente N. ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Di Paolo S. ⚽,
83', Viscardi A. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,
83', Bentivegna A. ↓, Butic K. ↑,
83', Casarotto M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
83', Di Paolo S. ↓, Morreale M. ↑,
84', Kallon Y. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 1.

Siracusa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Casertana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Siracusa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Siracusa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Sorrento - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Potenza - Siracusa	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Siracusa - Crotone	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
21.02.26	Casertana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Casertana - Crotone	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Casertana - Foggia	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Casertana - Siracusa	1:0
14.04.19	Casertana - Siracusa	2:1
12.12.18	Siracusa - Casertana	0:0
11.03.18	Siracusa - Casertana	0:1
21.10.17	Casertana - Siracusa	0:1
Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
14.05.17	Siracusa - Casertana	0:2
Italian Serie C Group C
05.04.17	Siracusa - Casertana	2:1

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