Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Athletic Bilbao B		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.71	3.25	4.4
	1.78	3.3	4.6
	1.76	3.46	4.73
	1.74	3.38	4.62	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.86
	1.78	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	4.62 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
52.6%

Draw
27.6%

Tarazona
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.9%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarazona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarazona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao B - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gastesi O. (G) 24. Louis-Jean J. 4. Dunabeitia A. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 6. Rego A. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 29. Perez A. 18. Canales P. 7. Varela I. 23. Hierro A.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 22. Llacer L. 12. Cedeno E. 14. Buyla J. 2. Camus S. 8. Romero B. 11. Martin J. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
19. Azkune E. 21. Bujan E. 3. De Luis J. 12. Elias J. 22. Irurita X. 14. Izaguirre A. 16. Lete E. 11. Olabarrieta A. 25. Santos M. (G) 9. Sanz I. 26. Sola J.	7. Areso J. 17. Gil I. 3. Martinez Chechu 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 23. Rico M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Cedeno E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Trilles M. 🟨,
59', Romero B. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
69', Varela I. ↓, Olabarrieta A. ↑,
69', Perez A. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
72', Martin J. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽,
78', Areso J. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Sanz I. ⚽,
84', Cedeno E. 🟨,
86', Buyla J. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
88', Llacer L. ↓, Mena P. ↑,
88', Fuentes A. ↓, Martinez Chechu ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWLL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Tarazona - Lugo	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Tarazona - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	Ourense CF - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLT

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