Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Athletic Bilbao B		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.2	3.05	3.35
	2.25	2.91	3.6
	2.19	2.88	3.53	Watch
	2.17	3.02	3.44
	2.2	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	3.38 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
42.1%

Draw
30.8%

Real Sociedad B
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Santos M. (G) 24. Louis-Jean J. 4. Dunabeitia A. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 11. Olabarrieta A. 6. Rego A. 18. Canales P. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 7. Varela I. 23. Hierro A.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 24. Beitia L. 15. Rodriguez P. 3. Balda J. 20. Mariezkurrena A. 28. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 10. Goti Lopez M. 11. Ochieng J. 9. Orobengoa E.
Substitutes
19. Azkune E. 3. De Luis J. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 22. Irurita X. 14. Izaguirre A. 16. Lete E. 31. Oyono I. 29. Perez A. 10. Sanchez I. 9. Sanz I. 26. Sola J.	23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 36. Cabo I. 18. Garcia E. 16. Gibelalde M. 6. Lebarbier A. 31. Marchal A. 21. Merino J. 17. Ramirez D. 38. Ropero I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Varela I. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
46', Olabarrieta A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
55', Hierro A. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
59', 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Beitia L. ⚽,
76', Rego A. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Aguilar Elizalde E. ⚽, Louis-Jean J. (A),
90+1', 2 - 1, Oyono I. ⚽, Aguilar Elizalde E. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 2.

Athletic Bilbao B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:12 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.24	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLLL
- Real Sociedad B
English Premier League International Cup
26.11.24	Chelsea U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
10.11.24	Zamora - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Barcelona B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.02.23	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0
24.09.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.03.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	1:2
19.12.20	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2
21.12.19	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2
02.03.19	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	2:2
13.10.18	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0

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