Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.16	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.08	3.51
	2.15	3.03	3.41	Watch
	2.16	3.08	3.39
	2.16	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	3.38 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
42.7%

Draw
30.1%

Tarazona
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ourense CF - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Andrada F. 19. Rodriguez M. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 10. Gil A. 8. Ramos J. (C) 6. Fidalgo A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	13. Ramirez Y. (G) 2. Camus S. 15. Rodriguez J. 5. Murria V. 22. Llacer L. 7. Areso J. 12. Cedeno E. 8. Romero B. 10. Mena P. 17. Gil I. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
4. Carmona F. 14. del Olmo I. 9. Di Renzo G. 23. Fullana F. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 5. Prado M. 20. Sanchez A.	18. Alvarez M. 20. Camero M. 9. Cubillas D. 1. Fuoli D. (G) 3. Martinez Chechu 11. Martin J. 6. Mencia J. 21. Pradera M. 23. Rico M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Carbonell J. ⚽,
25', Raigal J. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Ramos J. ⚽,
35', Mena P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Areso J. ↓, Pradera M. ↑,
46', Raigal J. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
46', Ramos J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
47', Cedeno E. 🟨,
60', Gil I. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
60', Mena P. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
60', Llacer L. ↓, Martinez Chechu ↑,
66', Murria V. 🟨,
68', Andrada F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
68', Noriega J. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Pradera M. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
75', Murria V. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Cubillas D. ⚽,
81', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
88', Gil A. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ourense CF will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Ourense CF - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.24	Guijuelo - Ourense CF	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTWWL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.11.24	Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Barakaldo - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Real Sociedad B - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
13.10.24	Tarazona - Sestao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLW

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