Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.57	2.95	2.97
	2.38	3.1	2.62
	2.49	3.12	2.79	Watch
	2.41	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.36)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.77 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
37.4%

Draw
29.7%

Athletic Club
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

CS Alagoano - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomazella (G) 6. Bruno Cardoso 7. Guilherme Dal Pian 10. Gustavo Xuxa 9. Iury Tanque 8. Juninho Valoura (C) 11. Marquinhos 4. Matheus Santos 5. Pedro Favela 2. Raphinha 3. Wellington Carvalho	1. Glauco (G) 3. Danilo Cardoso 10. David Braga 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 8. Djalma 4. Edson Miranda 9. Jonathas 11. Villero P. 7. Welinton Torrao 2. Ynaia 6. Yuri
Substitutes
14. Almir Luan 31. Deivity (G) 13. Eduardo Biazus 17. Erik 16. Jean Cleber 20. Jeffinho 15. Lucas Marques 19. Marlon 18. Richard 21. Roger 22. Vitor Leque 12. Yuri (G)	18. Caldeira R. 13. Douglas Pele 17. Geovane 12. Jefferson Luis (G) 16. Lucas Mineiro 14. Marcelo Sousa 19. Neto Costa 15. Rafael Conceicao 20. Robinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 5)
12', 0 - 1, Welinton Torrao ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Jonathas ⚽,
26', Ynaia 🟨,
26', Iury Tanque 🟨,
31', 0 - 3, David Braga ⚽,
40', 0 - 4, Jonathas ⚽,
42', 0 - 5, David Braga ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marquinhos ↓, Vitor Leque ↑,
46', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Eduardo Biazus ↑,
46', Ynaia ↓, Douglas Pele ↑,
46', Diego Fumaca ↓, Caldeira R. ↑,
65', Vitor Leque 🟨,
66', Gustavo Xuxa ↓, Richard ↑,
67', Guilherme Dal Pian ↓, Jean Cleber ↑,
69', Welinton Torrao ↓, Geovane ↑,
69', Robinho ↓, Djalma ↑,
69', Villero P. ↓, Rafael Conceicao ↑,
81', Iury Tanque ↓, Roger ↑,
90', Richard 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent matches CSA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
06.05.24	Londrina - CS Alagoano	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	CS Alagoano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
11.04.24	CS Alagoano - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
05.05.24	Athletic Club - ABC	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Caxias - Athletic Club	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.03.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

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