Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 20

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Athletic Club		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.2	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.02	3	3.95
	2.09	3.12	4.13
	2.13	2.91	3.89	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.5
	1.97	3.01	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	3.92 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
44.8%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético Goianiense
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

31.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Athletic Club - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Atlético GO (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (1.59) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Club will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adriel (G) 2. Douglas Pele 43. Marcelo Ajul 4. Sidimar (C) 84. Rodrigo Gelado 38. Sandry 14. Fabricio Isidoro 7. Welinton Torrao 10. David Braga 27. Alason Carioca 21. Tavares R.	1. Vitor P. (G) 2. Dudu Marques 4. Pedro Henrique 3. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme Romao (C) 5. Luizao 8. Kauan Rodrigues 7. Kelvin 10. Robert Conceicao 11. Martinez F. 9. Gustavo Daniel
Substitutes
44. Alex Nascimento 11. Ezequiel 25. Glauco (G) 1. Jefferson Luis (G) 13. Jhonatan Silva 33. Leo Dourado 55. Martinez F. 96. Matheus Guilherme 77. Max 18. Rafael Conceicao 52. Wesley Gasolina 6. Yuri	17. Araos A. 19. Ariel 15. Barrios F. 14. Castro 16. Ham E. 18. Shaylon 13. Valdir Junior 12. Vladimir (G) 20. Yuri Alves
Coaches
Duarte R.	Rafael Lacerda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Tavares R. ⚽, David Braga (A),
7', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
11', 1 - 1, Robert Conceicao ⚽, Dudu Marques (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez F. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
46', Douglas Pele 🟨,
54', Alason Carioca ↓, Max ↑,
55', Douglas Pele ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
66', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Shaylon ↑,
71', Dudu Marques ↓, Valdir Junior ↑,
73', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
73', Rodrigo Gelado ↓, Yuri ↑,
82', Robert Conceicao ↓, Yuri Alves ↑,
82', Gustavo Daniel ↓, Ariel ↑,
88', Welinton Torrao ↓, Ezequiel ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).

Athletic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético GO has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Athletic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive) Neto Costa (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Alix Vinicius (Yellow Cards) Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Talisson (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Athletic: Da Cruz A. (Injury) Max (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.25	Paysandu - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	Athletic Club - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Ferroviária - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Athletic Club - Avaí	4:0 ✺
07.07.25	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 TTWWW
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
18.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
03.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.04.25	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	4:2

Upcoming Matches