Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 18

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)


	Athletic Club		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	2.32	2.82	3.35
	2.52	3	3.56
	2.70	2.93	2.80	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3.3
	2.42	2.69	3.63	Watch
	2.52	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	3.27 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
38.6%

Draw
32.7%

Coritiba
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Athletic Club - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Coritiba (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Coritiba (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coritiba will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Coritiba (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adriel (G) 52. Wesley Gasolina 4. Sidimar (C) 43. Marcelo Ajul 6. Yuri 14. Fabricio Isidoro 10. David Braga 38. Sandry 7. Welinton Torrao 21. Tavares R. 27. Alason Carioca	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 20. Alex Silva 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 19. Gomez S. (C) 8. Filipe Machado 10. Josue 11. Lucas Ronier 9. Gustavo Coutinho 25. Clayson
Substitutes
44. Alex Nascimento 2. Douglas Pele 11. Ezequiel 25. Glauco (G) 1. Jefferson Luis (G) 13. Jhonatan Silva 33. Leo Dourado 55. Martinez F. 96. Mateus Goncalves 77. Max 19. Neto Costa 18. Rafael Conceicao	49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 15. Guilherme Aquino 77. Iury Castilho 16. Joao Almeida 7. Nicolas Careca 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista 73. Zeca
Coaches
Duarte R.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Welinton Torrao ⚽, Yuri (A),
31', Maicon 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wesley Gasolina ↓, Douglas Pele ↑,
56', Clayson 🟨,
56', Alason Carioca ↓, Max ↑,
60', Yuri 🟨,
63', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
63', Filipe Machado ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
71', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
79', David Braga ↓, Mateus Goncalves ↑,
80', Welinton Torrao ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
80', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
80', Lucas Ronier ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
90+3', Iury Castilho 🟨,
90+5', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
90+6', Sandry 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive) Rodrigo Gelado (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Coritiba: Wallisson (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Athletic: Da Cruz A. (Injury) Max (Injury)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
18.07.25	Ferroviária - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Athletic Club - Avaí	4:0 ✺
07.07.25	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Athletic Club - Remo	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Goiás - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.8 WWWLW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.25	Coritiba - Paysandu	2:5 ✺
10.07.25	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
04.07.25	Coritiba - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Coritiba - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWWW

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