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Current Win Probability
Athletic Club 50.3%
Draw 28.2%
Ferroviária 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
28.3%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
28.3%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
11.1%
33.3%
Athletic Club - Ferroviária Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Adriel (G) 43. Marcelo Ajul 4. Sidimar (C) 13. Jhonatan Silva 2. Douglas Pele 38. Sandry 55. Martinez F. 6. Yuri 7. Welinton Torrao 21. Tavares R. 19. Neto Costa
41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 44. Maycon 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 80. Fabio 5. Ricardinho 14. Eric Melo 35. Netinho 8. Alencar 77. Juninho 92. Carlao
Substitutes
17. Da Cruz A. 45. Edson Miranda 70. Eduardo Freire (G) 11. Ezequiel 14. Fabricio Isidoro 36. Felipe Vieira 25. Glauco (G) 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 15. Indio G. 20. Joao Miguel 96. Matheus Guilherme 22. Victor Gabriel
20. Albano 66. Edson Lucas 83. Erik Nascimento 10. Fabricio Daniel 27. Hernani 43. Joao Ramos 7. Kevin 1. Leo Wall (G) 29. Tarik 37. Thiago Lopes 11. Vitor Barreto 17. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Duarte R.
Claudinei Oliveira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Douglas Pele ⚽, Welinton Torrao (A),
19', Yuri 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Carlao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tavares R. ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
60', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
74', Fabio ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
76', Guilherme Cachoeira 🟨,
79', Netinho ↓, Albano ↑,
81', Douglas Pele 🟨,
83', Welinton Torrao ↓, Fabricio Isidoro ↑,
83', Martinez F. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
83', Alencar ↓, Tarik ↑,
86', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
90', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
90+1', Sidimar 🟨,
90+2', Sidimar ↓, Indio G. ↑,
90+4', Vitor Barreto 🟥,
90+6', 2 - 1, Jhonatan Silva ⚽,
90+12', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
90+13', Maycon 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Athletic is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Chico Geraldes
(Yellow Cards)
Max
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Gelado
(Inactive)
Wesley Gasolina
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Injury)
Ze Mario
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Athletic: David Braga
(Injury)
Luiz Filipe
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Brazil
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Adriel (G) 
Martinez F. 
Tavares R. 
Da Cruz A. 
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