Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Athletic Club		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.62	3.05	2.68
	2.69	3.23	2.86
	2.65	3.15	2.71	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.57	3.06	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
35.8%

Draw
30.3%

Náutico Capibaribe
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Athletic Club - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luan Polli (G) 2. Douglas Pele 16. Joao Miguel 4. Felipe Vieira 6. Zeca (C) 5. Ian Luccas 8. Cabezas G. 17. Kauan Rodrigues 10. Gustavinho 14. Marcelo Henrique 9. Tavares R.	1. Muriel Becker (C) 14. Matheus Ribeiro 25. Mateus Silva 3. Betao 23. Igor Fernandes 27. Luiz Felipe 8. Wenderson 29. Junior Todinho 10. Dodo 7. Vinicius 72. Derek
Substitutes
15. Alexandre Pena 7. Bruninho 22. Gabriel Moyses 26. Glauco (G) 3. Gustavo Morais 12. Jhonatan Luiz (G) 19. Kauan Lindes 11. Max 13. Oliveira M. 18. Pedro Oliveira 20. Samuel Otusanya 21. Vera D.	5. Auremir 98. Felipe Saraiva 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 66. Leo Jance 40. Ramon 93. Reginaldo 31. Rosa 41. Samuel Felix 11. Victor Andrade 22. Vitinho 34. Wanderson 6. Yuri
Coaches
Alex Souza	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tavares R. ↓, Samuel Otusanya ↑,
20', Derek 🟨,
21', Mateus Silva 🟨,
24', Ian Luccas 🟨,
42', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Ian Luccas ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
57', Douglas Pele ↓, Vera D. ↑,
66', Vinicius ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
66', Mateus Silva ↓, Yuri ↑,
66', Gustavinho ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
72', Junior Todinho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Victor Andrade ⚽, Yuri (A),
82', Victor Andrade 🟨,
83', Felipe Saraiva 🟨,
86', Luiz Felipe ↓, Samuel Felix ↑,
86', Wenderson ↓, Ramon ↑,
90+4', Zeca 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Athletic: Belezi (Red Card) Diogo Batista (Yellow Cards) Jhonatan Silva (Red Card) Jota (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Sidimar (Inactive)

There will not play in Náutico: Betao (Inactive) Junior Todinho (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Nautico: 0.3% Athletic Club: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nautico	31	11	9	11	39:38	1	42
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Athletic Club - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:3 ✺
05.04.26	Athletic Club - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Criciúma - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWTT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ceará - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club	2:2

Upcoming Matches