Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 2

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports


	Atlético Goianiense		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.9	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2.36	3	3.43
	2.14	3.16	3.57	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.09	3.08	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)	3.63 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
43.7%

Draw
30.6%

Náutico Capibaribe
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Nata 6. Guilherme 5. Cristiano 8. Igor Henrique (C) 7. Assis 10. Guilherme 11. Marrony 9. Leo Jaco	1. Muriel Becker (G) 14. Matheus Ribeiro 25. Mateus Silva 3. Betao 6. Yuri 27. Luiz Felipe 8. Wenderson 10. Dodo 22. Vitinho 77. Juninho 7. Vinicius (C)
Substitutes
18. Ariel 14. Barreto Viera O. J. 21. Bruno Jose 13. Felipe Guimaraes 16. Geovane 20. Geovany Soares 15. Gustavo Daniel 19. Jader 17. Matheus Indio 22. Vitinho Lopes 12. Vladimir (G)	2. Arnaldo 5. Auremir 30. Felipe Cardoso 98. Felipe Saraiva 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 23. Igor Fernandes 19. Leonai Souza 40. Ramon 93. Reginaldo 31. Rosa 11. Victor Andrade 43. Wanderson
Coaches
Eduardo Souza	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Leo Jaco ⚽, Guilherme (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Betao ↓, Igor Fernandes ↑,
46', Luiz Felipe ↓, Leonai Souza ↑,
50', Leonai Souza 🟨,
55', Juninho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
55', Vitinho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
69', Igor Henrique ↓, Matheus Indio ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Vinicius ⚽, Yuri (A),
80', Mateus Silva ↓, Wanderson ↑,
80', Guilherme ↓, Vitinho Lopes ↑,
80', Leo Jaco ↓, Geovany Soares ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Igor Fernandes ⚽, Dodo (A),
83', Cristiano ↓, Jader ↑,
83', Ewerthon ↓, Felipe Guimaraes ↑,
85', Matheus Indio 🟨,
88', Wanderson 🟥,
90+5', Yuri 🟨,
90+9', Felipe Saraiva 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Náutico: Junior Todinho (Muscle Injury) Luiz Felipe (Inactive) Samuel Felix (Red Card)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Ramirez K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
13	Nautico	31	11	9	11	39:38	1	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.03.26	Porto Vitória - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
15.03.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
08.03.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	3:3 ✺
22.02.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.10.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	2:1
02.07.16	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
15.09.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
13.06.15	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
25.10.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
26.07.14	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
29.09.12	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	2:0

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