Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.33	Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.25	Watch
	1.98	3.11	4.6
	2	2.99	4.38	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4.2
	1.96	2.98	4.41	Watch
	1.96	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)	3 ↑ (2.96)	4.36 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
47.6%

Draw
31%

Deportes Tolima
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Deportes Tolima (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Deportes Tolima (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 3. Rea M. 4. Garcia J. 8. Hinestroza F. 21. Charrupi F. 28. Flores L. 11. Salazar J. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 15. Batalla E. 27. Pons L.	1. Neto Volpi (G) 17. Arrieta C. 3. Angulo J. 5. Mera J. 20. Hernandez J. 6. Trujillo C. 15. Nieto J. (C) 7. Gonzalez J. 10. Torres Patino J. P. 28. Lopez E. 9. Sandoval L.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo B. 6. Charrupi G. 7. Londono K. 2. Mena J. 14. Mosquera J. 23. Romana C. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)	30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 18. Florez K. 32. Guzman S. 22. Marquinez L. (G) 27. Martinez M. 31. Moreno Y. 24. Parra Osorio A. 4. Pedrozo D. 8. Valencia E.
Coaches
Alvarez L.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Angulo J. 🟨,
14', Charrupi F. 🟨,
28', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,
42', Nieto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Sambueza F. 🟨,
49', Lopez E. 🟨,
61', Salazar J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
61', Nieto J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
64', Mosquera J. 🟨,
75', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
75', Gonzalez J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
80', Charrupi F. 🟨,
85', Sandoval L. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
85', Lopez E. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
87', Arrieta C. 🟨,
89', Mosquera J. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
89', Sambueza F. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
89', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
90+6', Flores L. ↓, Romana C. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.

Bucaramanga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Deportes Tolima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bucaramanga is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.4%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
06.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
27.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTW
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
07.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
02.02.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.12.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima	0:0
22.11.25	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
19.09.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima	2:0
05.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1
01.09.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportes Tolima	0:2
22.02.24	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
01.09.23	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0

Upcoming Matches