Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.70	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.40
	2.02	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.50	3.75
	2.09	3.34	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.30	3.45
	1.99	3.79	3.55	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.91)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.52 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
45.8%

Draw
27.5%

Junior Barranquilla
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 6. Castrillon N. 24. Ortiz J. 23. Romana C. 4. Garcia J. 8. Hinestroza F. 21. Charrupi F. 22. Fabry 17. Batalla E. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 27. Pons L.	30. Martinez J. (G) 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 23. Ortiz P. 26. Suarez Y. 28. Celis G. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 25. Caicedo D. 29. Gutierrez T. (C) 22. Rivas J. 10. Muriel L.
Substitutes
80. Albornoz O. 9. Caicedo B. 30. Cantillo V. 28. Flores L. 19. Gutierrez A. 16. Matheus L. (G) 5. Murrilo A. 3. Rea M. 11. Salazar J.	12. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 88. Castrillon B. 19. Fydriszewski F. 9. Paiva G. 16. Perez C. 18. Perez K. 14. Rios J. 7. Rivera H. 34. Socarras D.
Coaches
Peirano P.	Viera S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Ortiz P. (Own goal),
22', Garcia J. 🟥,
25', 1 - 1, Muriel L. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 1, Hinestroza F. ⚽, Pons L. (A),
37', 3 - 1, Batalla E. ⚽, Hinestroza F. (A),
43', Ortiz P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rivera D. ↓, Socarras D. ↑,
61', Sambueza F. 🟨,
64', Muriel L. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Batalla E. 🟨,
66', Caicedo D. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
66', Rivas J. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
66', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
74', Hinestroza F. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
74', Sambueza F. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
81', Celis G. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
84', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
85', Castrillon N. ↓, Murrilo A. ↑,
85', Batalla E. ↓, Flores L. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.

Bucaramanga is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Junior has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bucaramanga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bucaramanga holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:20 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bucaramanga against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Bucaramanga: 8.74% Junior: 0.79%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	16:20	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.13%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 24.06%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
25.09.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Bogotá	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWT
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
30.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0
18.08.25	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1
01.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	1:1
18.07.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	1:0
25.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0
11.05.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
21.01.24	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0

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