Match Info

Date: 31 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Bernal (Bernal)


	Atlético Grau		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.5	4	5.8
	1.53	3.9	5.2
	1.57	4.17	5.75
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.57	4.1	5.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	3.95 ↑ (3.85)	5.56 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
60%

Draw
23.4%

Universidad San Martín
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

24.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Atlético Grau - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Grau will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Grau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad San Martín has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Grau is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
26.07.22	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Sport Huancayo - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
10.07.22	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
24.06.22	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTLL
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
27.07.22	Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho	3:3 ✺
23.07.22	Sport Boys - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	0:4 ✺
11.07.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	4:0 ✺
02.07.22	Cienciano - Universidad San Martín	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
07.03.22	Universidad San Martín - Atlético Grau	1:2
11.11.20	Atlético Grau - Universidad San Martín	0:2
08.03.20	Atlético Grau - Universidad San Martín	0:0

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