Match Info

Date: 2 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cienciano		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.16	7	17	Watch
	1.15	7	13
	1.16	7	12.5
	1.15	6.4	14
	1.16	7.92	15.7
	1.14	6.5	15
	1.16	7.5	16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.31)	7.05 ↑ (5.36)	14.74 ↑ (9.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cienciano
80.5%

Draw
13.2%

Universidad San Martín
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17.6%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.5%

19.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Cienciano aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	4.5%	27.3%

Cienciano - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Uni San Martín will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cienciano: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Cienciano is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Cienciano won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
26.06.22	Carlos Stein - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	Cienciano - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
30.05.22	Alianza Lima - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
15.05.22	Sport Huancayo - Cienciano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWT
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
27.06.22	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	Universidad San Martín - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
21.05.22	Universidad San Martín - Carlos Stein	3:1 ✺
14.05.22	Cantolao - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.07.21	Universidad San Martín - Cienciano	1:1
15.05.21	Cienciano - Universidad San Martín	0:1
30.11.20	Universidad San Martín - Cienciano	1:2
09.02.20	Cienciano - Universidad San Martín	4:0
29.11.15	Cienciano - Universidad San Martín	3:0
22.08.15	Universidad San Martín - Cienciano	1:1
Peruvian Copa Inca
20.03.15	Universidad San Martín - Cienciano	2:1

Upcoming Matches