Match Info

Date: 21 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)


	Atlético La Paz		Pumas Tabasco

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.81	3.3	3.9
	1.87	3.15	3.85
	1.93	3.38	4.34
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.87	3.24	4
	1.9	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.2)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	4.02 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
48.8%

Draw
28.5%

Pumas Tabasco
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pumas Tabasco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pumas Tabasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	21.1%	10.5%

Atlético La Paz - Pumas Tabasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético La Paz: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).

The competitors look crappy now.

Pumas Tabasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético La Paz is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.09.22	Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz	4:2 ✺
06.09.22	Atlético La Paz - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz	4:0 ✺
23.08.22	Atlético La Paz - Raya2 Expansión	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético La Paz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL
- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.09.22	Pumas Tabasco - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Correcaminos UAT - Pumas Tabasco	1:0 ✺
31.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	2:0 ✺
18.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT

Atlético La Paz - Pumas Tabasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide