Match Info

Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)


	Venados		Pumas Tabasco

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.8
	1.82	3.05	4.25
	1.89	3.25	3.65
	1.93	3.23	4.56
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.89	3.32	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.56)	3.99 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
48.6%

Draw
28.5%

Pumas Tabasco
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Pumas Tabasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	23.1%	38.5%

Venados - Pumas Tabasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venados: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 18).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Venados could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Venados is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Venados won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Venados won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Venados	1:2 ✺
10.08.22	Venados - Dorados	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Venados	4:0 ✺
29.07.22	Venados - Atlético Morelia	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Alacranes de Durango - Venados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLT
- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	1:1 ✺
09.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
03.08.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco	4:3 ✺
27.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Atlético Morelia - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.22	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	2:2
22.09.21	Pumas Tabasco - Venados	1:1
26.03.21	Pumas Tabasco - Venados	0:2
03.11.20	Venados - Pumas Tabasco	1:3

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