The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cimarrones de Sonora 52.1%
Draw 25.5%
Atlético La Paz 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
27.5%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
28.6%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cimarrones de Sonora's performance.
Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético La Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cimarrones de Sonora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético La Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cimarrones de Sonora will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Espinoza G. (G) 4. Monreal E. 5. Reyna M. 24. Rodriguez J. 6. Arellano A. 14. Monarrez F. 16. Lopez D. 17. Cisneros D. 10. Tejeda D. 7. Peralta J. 172. Orrantia E.
23. Estrada J. (G) 2. Ruiz P. 30. Sandoval H. 15. Torres H. 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 7. Santos F. 8. Benitez M. 10. Mendoza R. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 27. Gutierrez L. 34. Keko
Substitutes
8. Acuna F. 11. Jimenez D. 9. Lopez J. 3. Manriquez S. 146. Meza F. 111. Molina P. 137. Montero Ramos E. I. 20. Navarro B. 86. Silva O. 134. Valenzuela J. (G)
4. Alvarez K. 32. Arana J. 14. Gurrola J. 29. Ibarra M. 19. Jaimes U. 1. Moreno C. (G) 21. Palma M. 11. Parra Teran J. A. 5. Perez L.
Coaches
Hernandez R.
Rico R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Cisneros D. ⚽,
36', Orrantia E. 🟨,
45', Peralta J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Orrantia E. ↓, Jimenez D. ↑,
58', Keko ↓, Perez L. ↑,
58', Gutierrez L. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
60', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
60', Perez L. 🟨,
62', Arellano A. ↓, Navarro B. ↑,
67', Mendoza R. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Lopez D. ⚽,
72', Benitez M. ↓, Parra Teran J. A. ↑,
72', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Gurrola J. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
79', Lopez D. ↓, Acuna F. ↑,
79', Tejeda D. ↓, Manriquez S. ↑,
88', Santos F. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Cimarrones de Sonora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Cimarrones de Sonora will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Watch
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Espinoza G. (G) 
Keko 
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