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Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, April 14, 2026)

Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Tolo TV
Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Selekt, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	HBO Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Atlético Madrid		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.75	1.75
	3.95	4.55	1.78
	3.91	4.7	1.79
	3.96	4.79	1.76
	3.7	4.4	1.75
	4.02	4.85	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.71)	4.67 ↓ (4.73)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
24.8%

Draw
20.6%

Barcelona
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

20%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.7%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.7%	74.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 13 - 18.8%). Barcelona will win (votes: 52 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 65.2% – 85.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlético (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Barcelona (3.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Barcelona (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlético (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Barcelona (votes: 14 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musso J. (G) 16. Molina N. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 14. Llorente M. 6. Koke (C) 22. Lookman A. 7. Griezmann A. 19. Alvarez J.	13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Kounde J. 24. Garcia E. 18. Martin G. 2. Cancelo J. 6. Gavi 8. Pedri (C) 10. Lamine Yamal 20. Olmo D. 16. Fermín 7. Torres F.
Substitutes
11. Almada T. 10. Baena A. 32. Bonar J. 5. Cardoso J. 34. Diaz J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 23. Gonzalez N. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 13. Oblak J. (G) 9. Sorloth A. 21. Vargas O.	4. Araujo R. 3. Balde A. 28. Bardghji R. 17. Casado M. 36. Cortes A. 21. de Jong F. 42. Espart X. 31. Kochen D. (G) 9. Lewandowski R. 43. Marques T. 14. Rashford M. 25. Szczesny W. (G)
Coaches
Simeone D.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Torres F. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Torres F. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Lookman A. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Simeone G. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
66', Lookman A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
68', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
68', Fermín ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
69', Gavi 🟨,
76', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
79', Garcia E. 🟥,
81', Gavi ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
89', Koke ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
89', Cancelo J. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
89', Olmo D. ↓, Bardghji R. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.

Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barcelona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.

There will not play in Atlético: Pubill M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Cubarsi P. (Red Card) Raphinha (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Hancko D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

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Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.9%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.04.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLL
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Barcelona - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.04.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Barcelona - Newcastle United	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
08.04.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.03.26	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:0
12.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	4:0
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
16.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	2:4

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Atlético Madrid - Barcelona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide