Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD (Alcala de Henares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Madrid B		Antequera

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.7	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.6	5.15
	1.68	3.55	5.22	Watch
	1.67	3.2	4.6
	1.7	3.46	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	5 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
54.8%

Draw
26.8%

Antequera
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

27.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Madrid B - Antequera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Luis M. (G) 4. Bonar J. (C) 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 7. Luque I. 10. Belaid R. 17. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 9. Llorente R. 23. Ortiz A.	13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 4. Barbu 22. Quintana A. 12. Garreta F. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 20. Aspra J. 18. Bassele M. 17. Parra M. 9. Ribeiro 11. Siddiki O.
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 37. Grant C. 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 24. Najera R. 2. Parriego M. 27. Seidu T. 12. Spina G.	3. Albentosa R. 7. Biabiany J. 8. Clavijo D. 23. Diz Acena R. 16. Gene A. 24. Ilahude D. 1. Perez S. (G) 6. Ramos D. 15. Raul Gimenez 19. Rodriguez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bassele M. ⚽,
26', Monserrate J. 🟨,
40', Anton J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Ortiz A. ⚽,
67', Ribeiro ↓, Ilahude D. ↑,
67', Bassele M. ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
67', Parra M. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
68', Belaid R. ↓, Koke ↑,
68', Monserrate J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
72', Barbu 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Aspra J. ⚽,
80', Siddiki O. ↓, Gene A. ↑,
85', Garreta F. 🟥,
89', 2 - 2, Ortiz A. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
90+9', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
90+14', 🟨,
90+16', 3 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
90+16', Ortiz A. 🟨,
90+17', 🟨,
90+17', Barbu 🟨,
90+19', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Atlético Madrid B is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10:8	2	9
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTL
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.03.26	Antequera - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sevilla B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Antequera - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Antequera - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	2:4
01.03.25	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	2:2
07.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	0:1
20.01.24	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	1:0
26.08.23	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	2:0

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