Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Atlético Madrid B		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.95	3.1	3.95
	1.94	3.22	4.45
	1.99	3.56	3.42	Watch
	1.93	3.12	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.56)	4.08 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
48.1%

Draw
29.1%

Eldense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+3%)

Atlético Madrid B - Eldense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Eldense (2.20) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 6. Serrano J. (C) 18. Bellotti M. 7. Luque I. 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 9. Janneh O.	1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 3. Smand F. 2. Serradell A. G. 23. Vallejo J. 11. Bellari H. 8. Bustillo M. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 10. Fidel (C) 9. Dioni
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 30. Llorente M. 26. Monserrate J. 33. Morales L. (G) 14. Morcillo J. 12. Spina G.	15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 26. Jimenez C. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Puric A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Belaid R. ⚽,
22', Diaz J. 🟨,
27', Serrano J. 🟨,
38', Vallejo J. 🟨,
41', Janneh O. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Dioni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Janneh O. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
61', Serrano J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
61', Belaid R. ↓, Koke ↑,
69', Bellotti M. 🟨,
70', Serradell A. G. 🟨,
71', Bellotti M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
77', Bellari H. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
83', Luque I. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
84', Fidel ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
90+1', Bustillo M. ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
90+1', Dioni ↓, Billups B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

Atlético Madrid B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eldense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Madrid B is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.18%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - CE Europa	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Madrid B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.11.25	Eldense - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	CE Europa - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Marbella - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTTL

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