Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Marte		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.52
	5.1	3.45	1.55
	6.05	3.88	1.56
	5.7	3.82	1.54	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↓ (5.83)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Marte
16.5%

Draw
24.7%

Alianza San Miguel
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

24.4%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

26.6%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Marte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Marte than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Marte won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alianza San Miguel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alianza San Miguel have a series of home games.

In this match Alianza San Miguel is a favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Atlético Marte won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 30-62.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Marte won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-37.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Marte
El Salvador Primera Division
29.03.23	CD FAS - Atlético Marte	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético Marte - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Chalatenango - Atlético Marte	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Águila - Atlético Marte	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Atlético Marte - Jocoro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLW
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
29.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	5:2 ✺
25.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Santa Tecla	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.03.23	Philadelphia Union - Alianza San Miguel	4:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
10.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
15.02.23	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Marte	1:1
16.10.22	Atlético Marte - Alianza San Miguel	2:4
21.09.22	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Marte	3:0
01.05.22	Atlético Marte - Alianza San Miguel	0:3
27.02.22	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Marte	3:2
13.11.21	Atlético Marte - Alianza San Miguel	2:1
12.09.21	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Marte	3:1

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