Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester)

Referee: Lopez B. (Gtm)


	Philadelphia Union		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.11	8.5	26	Watch
	1.13	8.5	18.5
	1.08	7.6	21
	1.11	7	19
	1.12	7.77	26.7
	1.1	6.5	21
	1.13	7.9	20.5	Watch
	1.11	7.6	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.33)	7.67 ↑ (4.68)	21.59 ↑ (7.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
83.6%

Draw
12.1%

Alianza San Miguel
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.5%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Philadelphia Union - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Philadelphia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alianza San Miguel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Philadelphia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Philadelphia is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
MLS
11.03.23	Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Philadelphia Union	0:0 ✺
MLS
04.03.23	Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.23	Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWW
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
10.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Philadelphia Union	0:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
04.03.23	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Philadelphia Union	0:0

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