The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 39.4%
Draw 27.5%
Cruzeiro 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.1%
28%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
28.4%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
Atlético MG arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Cruzeiro has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Atlético MG has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Cruzeiro has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético MG has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:18 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético MG against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Cruzeiro
31
15
6
10
50:46
4
51
6
Atletico-MG
31
14
8
9
42:35
7
50
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Cruzeiro: 0.26% Atletico-MG: 0.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Cruzeiro - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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