Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 34

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Mineiro		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4	6.25
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.55	3.99	7.43
	1.55	3.99	7.43
	1.5	3.75	6.5
	1.54	3.92	6.35	Watch
	1.53	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	3.94 ↑ (3.73)	6.58 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
61.6%

Draw
24%

Goiás
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Atlético Mineiro - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Mendes (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 28. Lemos M. 16. Igor Rabello 13. Guilherme Arana (C) 5. Otavio 15. Zaracho M. 17. Igor Gomes 44. Rubens 10. Paulinho 7. Hulk	23. Tadeu (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Lucas Halter 4. Sidimar 19. Bruno Melo 12. Willian Oliveira 5. Guzzo R. 40. Everton Morelli 77. Allano 9. Matheus Babi 70. Anderson Oliveira
Substitutes
14. Alan Kardec 8. Edenilson 23. Franco A. 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 20. Hyoran 34. Jemerson 27. Monteiro P. 49. Patrick 9. Pavon C. 38. Pedrinho 4. Rever 45. Santana A.	22. Apodi 20. Diego 11. Diego Goncalves 29. Ezequiel Oliveira (G) 45. Joao Magno 88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 8. Meritao H. 55. Oyama L. 10. Palacios J. 95. Rodrigues Adelino dos Santos V. 7. Vinicius
Coaches
Scolari L.	Evangelista A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1.

Atlético MG is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goiás is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético MG is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético MG: Battaglia R. (Injury) Bruno Fuchs (Injury) Eduardo Vargas (Injury) Mariano (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Atlético MG to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.23	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTWWW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.23	Goiás - Santos	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Coritiba - Goiás	0:1 ✺
02.11.23	Goiás - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Goiás - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
25.10.23	Fluminense - Goiás	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
17.07.23	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
20.08.22	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	0:1
30.04.22	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	2:2
03.02.21	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
10.10.20	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	3:0
06.11.19	Atlético Mineiro - Goiás	2:0
28.07.19	Goiás - Atlético Mineiro	0:0

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