Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	01:00	Max Sport 4
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV


	Atlético Mineiro		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.25
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.5	4.44	6.86
	1.42	3.9	7
	1.5	4.25	6.45	Watch
	1.44	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	4.26 ↓ (4.58)	6.74 ↓ (8.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
63.9%

Draw
22.1%

Libertad Asuncion
14%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

20.3%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

20.3%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	3.7%	55.6%

Atlético Mineiro - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético MG is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.04.23	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	2:3 ✺
18.03.23	Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.03.23	Atlético Mineiro - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.03.23	Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.03.23	Millonarios - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLT
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.04.23	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	5:0 ✺
30.03.23	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
26.04.17	Atlético Mineiro - Libertad Asuncion	2:0
19.04.17	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro	✺
Copa do Brasil U20
01.11.26	Grêmio - Atlético Mineiro	✺
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	✺

Atlético Mineiro - Libertad Asuncion