Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	18:00	ESPN, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	19:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	01:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	00:00	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	17:00	DAZN, ESPN
Germany	00:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	01:00	Sport 2
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	11:00	beIN Connect
Paraguay	19:00	Tigo Sports+
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	00:00	Polsat Sport 1
Serbia	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	00:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	00:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	19:00	DAZN, Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	18:00	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
International	22:00	OneFootball TV


	Atlético Mineiro		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	9.5	Watch
	1.40	4.50	7.75
	1.36	4.3	8.8	Watch
	1.39	4.4	7.5
	1.38	4.6	9.4	Watch
	1.34	4.6	9.45
	1.43	4.66	9.3	Watch
	1.38	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	4.47 ↑ (4.17)	8.74 ↑ (7.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
68.1%

Draw
21.1%

Montevideo City Torque
10.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.4%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.8%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 21. Franco A. 40. Vitao 13. Lyanco 6. Lodi R. 8. Maycon 15. Castano K. 28. Cuello 30. Victor Hugo 11. Bernard (C) 19. Reinier	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 3. Silva K. 2. Gutierrez B. 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 18. Borbas T. 39. Cisse M. 3. Duarte L. 92. Dudu 17. Igor Gomes 27. Minda A. 2. Natanael 36. Pascini K. 23. Preciado A. 31. Robert (G) 14. Vitor Hugo	7. Andrade L. 15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 18. Lecchini R. 16. Molina I. 21. Perez N. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Reinier ⚽, Victor Hugo (A),
42', 2 - 0, Bernard ⚽, Reinier (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Siles P. 🟨,
57', Vitao 🟨,
63', Victor Hugo ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
63', Reinier ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
77', Bernard ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
80', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
80', Siles P. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Borbas T. ⚽, Lodi R. (A),
81', Obregon E. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
85', Vitao ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
85', Cuello ↓, Minda A. ↑,
88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
90+2', Andrade L. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Atlético MG has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Montevideo City has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlético MG may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this match, Atlético MG enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Atlético MG in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Atletico-MG: 48.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	5:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWTW
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLT

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