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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 68%
Draw 20.4%
Chapecoense 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
21.3%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
20.4%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Atlético Mineiro - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 2. Natanael 40. Vitao 14. Vitor Hugo 36. Pascini K. 8. Maycon 5. Alexsander 28. Cuello 7. Fred 11. Bernard (C) 27. Minda A.
98. Anderson (G) 23. Dudu Marques 21. Kauan 3. Eduardo Doma (C) 91. Bruno Pacheco 27. Camilo Reijers 88. Yago Felipe 7. Marcinho 10. Giovanni Augusto 31. Mauricio Garcez 9. Tulio
Substitutes
9. Cassierra M. 15. Castano K. 39. Cisse M. 3. Duarte L. 92. Dudu 21. Franco A. 17. Igor Gomes 6. Lodi R. 13. Lyanco 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 31. Robert (G)
11. Bolasie Y. 77. Borrero D. 16. Bruno Matias 80. Carvalho M. 19. David Antunes 12. Fernando 30. Matheus Aurelio (G) 15. Rafael Thyere 55. Rosivan 70. Rubens Ricoldi
Coaches
Dominguez E.
Rafael Lacerda
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Tulio ⚽, Dudu Marques (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
58', Pascini K. ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
58', Alexsander ↓, Lodi R. ↑,
58', Minda A. ↓, Dudu ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Cassierra M. ⚽, Bernard (A),
71', Tulio ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
71', Dudu Marques ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
81', Maycon ↓, Castano K. ↑,
81', Vitao 🟨,
82', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Fernando ↑,
82', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
88', Yago Felipe ↓, David Antunes ↑,
90', Fernando 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20th in the Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Atlético MG may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético MG enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Atlético MG: Everson
(Foot Injury)
Perez T.
(Injury)
Ruan Tressoldi
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Chapecoense: Eduardo Doma
(Yellow Cards)
Heitor
(Inactive)
Joao Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
Max Alves
(Injury)
Rafael Carvalheira
(Knee Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlético MG: Reinier
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Chapecoense: Giovanni Augusto
(Inactive).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Atlético MG has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:20 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético MG against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
Brazil
Ecuador
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Gabriel Delfim (G) 
Cuello 
Minda A. 
Cassierra M. 
Cisse M. 
Bolasie Y. 
Carvalho M. 
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