Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Morelos (Morelia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Morelia		Cancún

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.40	4.20
	1.70	3.55	4.50
	1.72	3.75	4.93
	1.9	3.51	3.98	Watch
	1.69	3.70	4.85
	1.68	3.50	4.58	Watch
	1.73	3.45	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.87)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	4.48 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Morelia
53.4%

Draw
26%

Cancún
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Morelia - Cancún Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 5. Van Rankin J. 20. Aguilar D. 13. Andrade A. 2. Lopez Aburto R. 6. De Buen D. 8. Martinez J. (C) 11. Lopez V. 17. Nambo M. 16. Sandoval R. 9. del Campo R.	1. Arce E. (G) 6. Cortes J. 15. Guillen D. 3. Hernandez J. 33. Ruiz L. 11. Trejo C. 5. Chavez A. 7. El-mesmari B. 14. Campos K. 10. Uscanga P. (C) 12. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
21. Castellanos E. 30. Conejo J. 28. Flores A. 1. Galan R. 3. Hernandez S. 32. Izarra A. 19. Rodriguez M. 7. Romero P. 35. Sanchez Cruz E. S. 4. Zamora D.	20. Arredondo A. 22. Echevarria U. 9. Gigena T. 16. Lomeli D. 8. Melendre F. 18. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 19. Preciado G. 139. Salaya De La Cruz C. 24. Vela C.
Coaches
Colace H.	Bravo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Trejo C. ⚽,
28', Cortes J. 🟥,
45+6', 1 - 1, Lopez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Uscanga P. ↓, Echevarria U. ↑,
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, del Campo R. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
66', Lopez V. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
67', Martinez J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
67', El-mesmari B. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
67', Campos K. ↓, Arredondo A. ↑,
71', Flores A. 🟥,
76', Ruiz L. 🟨,
80', Ruiz L. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
82', Sandoval R. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
82', Nambo M. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
82', Aguilar D. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, del Campo R. ⚽,
90', De Buen D. 🟨,
90+1', Hernandez S. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, del Campo R. (A),
90+7', Hernandez S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.

Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Morelia is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Morelia	11	7	1	3	21:12	9	22
7	Cancun	11	5	2	4	19:15	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Morelia - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Atlético La Paz	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.04.26	Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético Morelia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWL
- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.26	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Cancún - UNAM	0:3 ✺
03.07.26	Cancún - Toluca	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Cancún - Monterrey	1:4 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.05.26	Cancún - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.01.26	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	0:1
16.11.25	Cancún - Atlético Morelia	1:1
13.11.25	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	3:1
23.08.25	Cancún - Atlético Morelia	5:0
12.04.25	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	2:1
25.10.24	Cancún - Atlético Morelia	3:1
14.03.24	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	0:1

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